Smart People - halligan

Personal Information

Real Name: halligan

Blogs at
Known on this site as halligan



Websites

Prediction Market Position

289 Brain Points
3rd in our system
Member since 4/26/2022


halligan has been a member since 2 years ago

Recent and Open Predictions

The technological singularity will occur in the first half of the 21st century

predicted No on 4/26/2022. This question is open

By 2027, by popular consensus, Halloween will be celebrated on the last Saturday of October instead of the October 31st.

predicted Yes - it will be celebrated on the last Saturday on 4/26/2022. This question is open

Closed Predictions

Elon Musk will offer Twitter employees a Coinbase style deal before the end of July

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will China attempt any military action against Taiwan in 2022?

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will Russian troops enter any part of Poland, for any period of time in 2022?

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will the Russian military occupy any part of the Donbas region on January 1st 2023?

predicted Yes on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will the Crimean Peninsula be held by Ukraine on January 1, 2023?

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Will the state of Georgia pass a bill to legalize marijuana by 2022?

predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct

Did Xi Jinping in fact suffer a brain aneurism on or about 5/12/2022

predicted No - he did not suffer an aneurism on 5/16/2022 which was correct

Will the US Government succesfully block Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter before the end of 2022?

predicted No on 5/16/2022 which was correct

Will Johnny Depp win his lawsuit against Amber Heard

predicted Yes - he will win his lawsuit on 5/16/2022 which was correct

Will the draft of the Supreme Court opinion leaked on 5/2/2022 be largely accurate?

predicted No on 5/16/2022 which was not correct

Will Herschel Walker win the Georgia senate primary on May 24th, 2022?

predicted Yes - he will win the primary on 5/16/2022 which was correct

Will there be riots and civil unrest before December 1st, 2022 directly related to the Supreme Court Roe vs Wade decision?

predicted No - there will be no rioting or civil unrest on 5/16/2022 which was correct

Submitted Questions

    halligan hasn't submitted any questions to be answered.