|The Question||Expiration Date||No More Predictions Accepted Date||UpVotes|
|By 2027, by popular consensus, Halloween will be celebrated on the last Saturday of October instead of the October 31st.||11/30/2021||11/12/2025||1|
|The technological singularity will occur in the first half of the 21st century||12/31/2050||12/31/2049||1|
|In rationalist circles AI Risk/Alignment will be memory holed and the concept will shift to generalized existential threats from human factors.||8/1/2027||2/1/2027||0|
|Will the 2028 GOP presidential nominee support national restrictions on birth control?||1/1/2029||12/30/2023||0|
Will Russia intentionally detonate a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2024?
If Russia detonates a nuclear weapon in the course of the war in Ukraine, will China participate in trade sanctions?
|Will Joe Biden run for a second term?||2/1/2023||12/1/2022||0|
|Will Daniel Penny be convicted of second-degree manslaughter in Jordan Neely’s death?||6/5/2024||6/5/2024||0|