If Russia does not detonate a nuclear weapon by the expiration date, the predictions are moot. If they do, China's sanctions must be at least as severe as the ones implemented by the EU as of November 3, 2022, in order to count as a "yes": https://web.archive.org/web/20221103143130/https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/sanctions/restrictive-measures-against-russia-over-ukraine/sanctions-against-russia-explained/
Created on 2 years ago, was closed for new predictions on 12/31/2022 and was answered on 7/11/2024
was created on 11/8/2022 (2 years ago) and was open for 612 days. The question is closed, and was answered using using https://web.archive.org/web/20221103143130/https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/sanctions/restrictive-measures-against-russia-over-ukraine/sanctions-against-russia-explained/ on 7/11/2024 by Steve French