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Smart People - SteveFrench

Personal Information

Real Name: Steve French
Atlanta GA
Blogs at
Known on this site as SteveFrench



Websites

Prediction Market Position

809 Brain Points
1st in our system
Member since 10/16/2014

Steve is the President and lead developer of Digital Tool Factory and Stronico Contact Management LLC and currently provides all technical and business development for Digital Tool Factory and Stronico. Over the last decade, Steve has worked with a wide range of Atlanta creative agencies and their corporate clients to build web applications that solve problems for their users. His company, Digital Tool Factory has provided behind the scenes technical muscle to the Atlanta design community since 2002. As the youngest member of a family of engineers, Steve specializes in solving problems using all applicable technological solutions. He is well known throughout the creative community for his attention to detail and minimalist coding style. Steve, his wife, and daughter reside in Atlanta, GA with 2 dogs. A graduate of the University of Georgia (BBA-Economics), Steve enjoys long-distance cycling, woodworking and bluegrass guitar.
Steve French has been a member since 9 years ago

Recent and Open Predictions

The technological singularity will occur in the first half of the 21st century

Steve predicted No on 5/23/2017. This question is open

By 2027, by popular consensus, Halloween will be celebrated on the last Saturday of October instead of the October 31st.

Steve predicted Yes - it will be celebrated on the last Saturday on 10/31/2021. This question is open

In rationalist circles AI Risk/Alignment will be memory holed and the concept will shift to generalized existential threats from human factors.

Steve predicted Yes - it will be memory holed and forgotten on 6/27/2022. This question is open

Will the 2028 GOP presidential nominee support national restrictions on birth control?

Steve predicted No on 11/7/2022. This question is open

If Russia detonates a nuclear weapon in the course of the war in Ukraine, will China participate in trade sanctions?

Steve predicted No on 11/8/2022. This question is open

Will Russia intentionally detonate a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2024?

Steve predicted No on 11/8/2022. This question is open

Will Daniel Penny be convicted of second-degree manslaughter in Jordan Neely’s death?

Steve predicted No - he will not be convicted on 5/12/2023. This question is open

Closed Predictions

Will Tyler Cowen will win the 2014 Nobel Prize in Economics?

Steve predicted Will Tyler Cowen will not win the 2014 Nobel Prize in Economics on 10/19/2014 which was correct

Will a member of a third party be elected to congress in the 2014 elections?

Steve predicted Yes - there will be one and only one member of a third party elected in 2014 on 10/19/2014 which was not correct

Will Turner Field be torn down in 2016?

Steve predicted It will not be torn down on 10/19/2014 which was correct

Will the US leave NATO by the end of 2015?

Steve predicted No - they will stay in NATO on 10/19/2014 which was correct

Will Russia Invade Latvia in 2014?

Steve predicted They will invade Latvia on 10/19/2014 which was not correct

Will Russia invade Estonia in 2014?

Steve predicted They will invade Estonia on 10/19/2014 which was not correct

Will Russia invade Lithuania in 2014?

Steve predicted Russia will invade Lithuania on 10/19/2014 which was not correct

Will Russia invade Poland in 2014?

Steve predicted They will on 10/20/2014 which was not correct

Who will win the 2014 Georgia Governor's Race?

Steve predicted Andrew Hunt on 10/27/2014 which was not correct

Will Russia invade Poland by the end of 2014?

Steve predicted They will not invade on 11/1/2014 which was correct

Will Michael Flynn be indicted by September 30th, 2017

Steve predicted Yes - he will be indicted on 5/22/2017 which was correct

Who will win the Georgia special election on June 20th, 2017?

Steve predicted Democrat Jon Ossoff on 5/23/2017 which was not correct

North Korea will not be at war in 2017, with anyone

Steve predicted There will not be a war on 5/23/2017 which was correct

The war in Syria will NOT be resolved in 2017

Steve predicted It will continue on 5/23/2017 which was correct

No country currently in the EU will actually vote to leave the EU in 2017

Steve predicted No country will vote to leave on 5/23/2017 which was correct

Theresa May will remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom throughout 2017

Steve predicted Yes - she will remain Prime Minister on 5/25/2017 which was correct

Construction of the US border wall will NOT begin in 2017

Steve predicted It will not begin on 5/25/2017 which was correct

Hillary Clinton will be under indictment in 2017

Steve predicted She will NOT be under indictment on 5/25/2017 which was correct

US Unemployment will be lower at the end of 2017 than at the beginning

Steve predicted It will be lower on 5/25/2017 which was correct

The US murder rate in 2017 will be higher than the murder rate in 2016

Steve predicted It will be higher on 5/26/2017 which was not correct

Seth Rich's murderer(s) will be captured and convicted

Steve predicted They will not be convicted on 5/26/2017 which was correct

The Republican Party will gain seats in the house in the 2018 elections

Steve predicted They will not gain seats on 5/26/2017 which was correct

The Democratic Party will gain seats in the 2018 elections

Steve predicted They will gain seats on 5/26/2017 which was correct

Jared Kushner will be under some form of indictment by January 1st, 2018

Steve predicted He will not be under indictment on 5/29/2017 which was correct

Tapes will emerge of conversations between Donald Trump and James Comey by January 1st, 2018

Steve predicted No tapes will emerge on 5/29/2017 which was correct

Microsoft will release a Surface Phone sometime in 2017

Steve predicted They will release a Surface Phone on 5/30/2017 which was not correct

Will Paul Manfort plead guilty to any crime before September 1st, 2018

Steve predicted No - he will not please guilty to any crime on 7/10/2018 which was not correct

Will Michael Cohen be pardoned before February 1st, 2019

Steve predicted Yes - he will be pardoned on 12/12/2018 which was not correct

The market cap of Apple will be smaller than Microsoft by June 1, 2020

Steve predicted Yes on 1/14/2019 which was correct

Will Apple sell less more items in 2019???

Steve predicted Yes on 3/21/2019. This question is open

Atlanta Will get an NHL team in 2019

Steve predicted Yes - they will get a team on 12/13/2019 which was correct

Will there be rioting if Kyle Rittenhouse is acquitted of the charges against him?

Steve predicted No - there will not be rioting on 10/27/2021 which was correct

Uniformed Russian troops will be in Kiev on April 1st, 2020

Steve predicted No on 2/22/2022 which was correct

Will the Crimean Peninsula be held by Ukraine on January 1, 2023?

Steve predicted No on 4/7/2022 which was correct

Will the Russian military occupy any part of the Donbas region on January 1st 2023?

Steve predicted Yes on 4/8/2022 which was correct

Will Russian troops enter any part of Poland, for any period of time in 2022?

Steve predicted No on 4/11/2022 which was correct

Will China attempt any military action against Taiwan in 2022?

Steve predicted No on 4/11/2022 which was correct

Elon Musk will offer Twitter employees a Coinbase style deal before the end of July

Steve predicted Yes on 4/25/2022 which was not correct

Will the state of Georgia pass a bill to legalize marijuana by 2022?

Steve predicted Yes on 4/26/2022 which was not correct

Will the US Government succesfully block Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter before the end of 2022?

Steve predicted No on 4/28/2022 which was correct

Will Johnny Depp win his lawsuit against Amber Heard

Steve predicted No - he will not win his lawsuit on 4/29/2022 which was not correct

Will the draft of the Supreme Court opinion leaked on 5/2/2022 be largely accurate?

Steve predicted No on 5/3/2022 which was not correct

Will Herschel Walker win the Georgia senate primary on May 24th, 2022?

Steve predicted No - he will not win the primary on 5/4/2022 which was not correct

Will there be riots and civil unrest before December 1st, 2022 directly related to the Supreme Court Roe vs Wade decision?

Steve predicted No - there will be no rioting or civil unrest on 5/12/2022 which was correct

Did Xi Jinping in fact suffer a brain aneurism on or about 5/12/2022

Steve predicted No - he did not suffer an aneurism on 5/13/2022 which was correct

Texas will institute mandatory statewide mass shooter training for all law enforcement officers by the August 1, 2022

Steve predicted Yes - they will institute mandatory training on 5/27/2022 which was not correct

Will Herschel Walker be replaced in the 2022 Georgia Senate race by September 15th, for any reason?

Steve predicted Yes - he will be replaced by a different candidate on 7/8/2022 which was not correct

Who will win the 2022 Georgia Senate Race?

Steve predicted Rafael Warnock on 10/4/2022 which was correct

Who will win the 2022 Georgia Governor's Race?

Steve predicted Brian Kemp on 10/4/2022 which was correct

Will Joe Biden run for a second term?

Steve predicted Yes on 11/8/2022 which was correct

Submitted Questions



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