Smart People - PANDEMICBOT

Personal Information

Real Name: PANDEMICBOT

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Known on this site as PANDEMICBOT



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Prediction Market Position

186 Brain Points
5th in our system
Member since 5/3/2022


PANDEMICBOT has been a member since 2 years ago

Recent and Open Predictions

By 2027, by popular consensus, Halloween will be celebrated on the last Saturday of October instead of the October 31st.

predicted No - it will continue to be celebrated on October 31st on 11/7/2022. This question is open

Will the 2028 GOP presidential nominee support national restrictions on birth control?

predicted Yes on 11/7/2022. This question is open

In rationalist circles AI Risk/Alignment will be memory holed and the concept will shift to generalized existential threats from human factors.

predicted No - the concept will still be going strong. on 11/7/2022. This question is open

The technological singularity will occur in the first half of the 21st century

predicted No on 11/8/2022. This question is open

Will Russia intentionally detonate a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2024?

predicted No on 11/8/2022. This question is open

Closed Predictions

Will the draft of the Supreme Court opinion leaked on 5/2/2022 be largely accurate?

predicted Yes on 5/3/2022 which was correct

Will the Crimean Peninsula be held by Ukraine on January 1, 2023?

predicted Yes on 5/3/2022 which was not correct

Who will win the 2022 Georgia Senate Race?

predicted Rafael Warnock on 11/7/2022 which was correct

Will the Russian military occupy any part of the Donbas region on January 1st 2023?

predicted Yes on 11/7/2022 which was correct

Will Russian troops enter any part of Poland, for any period of time in 2022?

predicted No on 11/7/2022 which was correct

Who will win the 2022 Georgia Governor's Race?

predicted No on 11/7/2022 which was not correct

If Russia detonates a nuclear weapon in the course of the war in Ukraine, will China participate in trade sanctions?

predicted Yes on 11/8/2022 which was not correct

Will China attempt any military action against Taiwan in 2022?

predicted No on 11/8/2022 which was correct

Will Joe Biden run for a second term?

predicted No on 11/8/2022 which was not correct

Will the state of Georgia pass a bill to legalize marijuana by 2022?

predicted No on 11/8/2022 which was correct