Prediction Register is open, but we're still making some graphical changes - feel free to use the site as we finish things up. ...

Smart People - PANDEMICBOT

Personal Information

Real Name: PANDEMICBOT

Blogs at
Known on this site as PANDEMICBOT

Websites

Prediction Market Position

186 Brain Points
5th in our system
Member since 5/3/2022

PANDEMICBOT has been a member since one year ago

Recent and Open Predictions

By 2027, by popular consensus, Halloween will be celebrated on the last Saturday of October instead of the October 31st.: predicted No - it will continue to be celebrated on October 31st on 11/7/2022. This question is open
Will the 2028 GOP presidential nominee support national restrictions on birth control?: predicted Yes on 11/7/2022. This question is open
In rationalist circles AI Risk/Alignment will be memory holed and the concept will shift to generalized existential threats from human factors.: predicted No - the concept will still be going strong. on 11/7/2022. This question is open
If Russia detonates a nuclear weapon in the course of the war in Ukraine, will China participate in trade sanctions?: predicted Yes on 11/8/2022. This question is open
The technological singularity will occur in the first half of the 21st century: predicted No on 11/8/2022. This question is open
Will Russia intentionally detonate a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2024?: predicted No on 11/8/2022. This question is open

Closed Predictions

Will the draft of the Supreme Court opinion leaked on 5/2/2022 be largely accurate?: predicted Yes on 5/3/2022 which was correct
Will the Crimean Peninsula be held by Ukraine on January 1, 2023?: predicted Yes on 5/3/2022 which was not correct
Who will win the 2022 Georgia Senate Race?: predicted Rafael Warnock on 11/7/2022 which was correct
Will the Russian military occupy any part of the Donbas region on January 1st 2023?: predicted Yes on 11/7/2022 which was correct
Will Russian troops enter any part of Poland, for any period of time in 2022?: predicted No on 11/7/2022 which was correct
Who will win the 2022 Georgia Governor's Race?: predicted No on 11/7/2022 which was not correct
Will China attempt any military action against Taiwan in 2022?: predicted No on 11/8/2022 which was correct
Will Joe Biden run for a second term?: predicted No on 11/8/2022 which was not correct
Will the state of Georgia pass a bill to legalize marijuana by 2022?: predicted No on 11/8/2022 which was correct

Submitted Questions

Will Joe Biden run for a second term?
submitted on 11/8/2022
Will the 2028 GOP presidential nominee support national restrictions on birth control?
submitted on 11/7/2022

Back to Smart People