halligan

Recent and Open Predictions

The technological singularity will occur in the first half of the 21st century: predicted No on 4/26/2022. This question is open
By 2027, by popular consensus, Halloween will be celebrated on the last Saturday of October instead of the October 31st.: predicted Yes - it will be celebrated on the last Saturday on 4/26/2022. This question is open

Closed Predictions

Elon Musk will offer Twitter employees a Coinbase style deal before the end of July: predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct
Will China attempt any military action against Taiwan in 2022?: predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct
Will Russian troops enter any part of Poland, for any period of time in 2022?: predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct
Will the Russian military occupy any part of the Donbas region on January 1st 2023?: predicted Yes on 4/26/2022 which was correct
Will the Crimean Peninsula be held by Ukraine on January 1, 2023?: predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct
Will the state of Georgia pass a bill to legalize marijuana by 2022?: predicted No on 4/26/2022 which was correct
Did Xi Jinping in fact suffer a brain aneurism on or about 5/12/2022: predicted No - he did not suffer an aneurism on 5/16/2022 which was correct
Will the US Government succesfully block Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter before the end of 2022?: predicted No on 5/16/2022 which was correct
Will Johnny Depp win his lawsuit against Amber Heard: predicted Yes - he will win his lawsuit on 5/16/2022 which was correct
Will the draft of the Supreme Court opinion leaked on 5/2/2022 be largely accurate?: predicted No on 5/16/2022 which was not correct
Will Herschel Walker win the Georgia senate primary on May 24th, 2022?: predicted Yes - he will win the primary on 5/16/2022 which was correct
Will there be riots and civil unrest before December 1st, 2022 directly related to the Supreme Court Roe vs Wade decision?: predicted No - there will be no rioting or civil unrest on 5/16/2022 which was correct

Submitted Questions

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Smart People - halligan

Personal Information

Prediction Market Position

Recent and Open Predictions

The technological singularity will occur in the first half of the 21st century

By 2027, by popular consensus, Halloween will be celebrated on the last Saturday of October instead of the October 31st.

Closed Predictions

Elon Musk will offer Twitter employees a Coinbase style deal before the end of July

Will China attempt any military action against Taiwan in 2022?

Will Russian troops enter any part of Poland, for any period of time in 2022?

Will the Russian military occupy any part of the Donbas region on January 1st 2023?

Will the Crimean Peninsula be held by Ukraine on January 1, 2023?

Will the state of Georgia pass a bill to legalize marijuana by 2022?

Did Xi Jinping in fact suffer a brain aneurism on or about 5/12/2022

Will the US Government succesfully block Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter before the end of 2022?

Will Johnny Depp win his lawsuit against Amber Heard

Will the draft of the Supreme Court opinion leaked on 5/2/2022 be largely accurate?

Will Herschel Walker win the Georgia senate primary on May 24th, 2022?

Will there be riots and civil unrest before December 1st, 2022 directly related to the Supreme Court Roe vs Wade decision?

Submitted Questions